2011 Outlook

I’m a little late in my annual new years outlook blog post, but better late than never!

As you might have noticed, 2011 promises to be full of turbulence, at least the first two quarters. Economies have not recovered enough and political turbulence is rampant. This past month is a sneak preview of what else might be heading towards us:

  • Assassination of Governor in Pakistan who spoke out against absurd religious blasphemy law
  • Assassination attempt of Congresswoman Gifford in USA
  • Tunisian Jasmine Revolution removed a corrupt dictator of 20+ years. The problem with spontaneous bottom up revolutions is that there is no identified replacement leader.
  • Egypt in flames. No matter how this ends, there will be many people who will be hurt/killed/murdered/arrested/tortured by the end of it.
  • Yemen heating up. Their leader has been in power for more than 30 years and the population has been protesting to remove the president…
  • Jordan has been seeing protests for 3 weeks running demanding the removal of the prime minister
  • Algerian protests have resulted in a potential reshuffling of its Cabinet
  • Haiti still a mess after 1 year. Reconstruction has not happened in any real way, cholera is rampant and the current ruling party does not want to admit defeat in the flawed elections. Baby Doc is back (and arrested) and Aristide would like to come back too!
  • Southern Sudan will most likely split away from the North (referendum results are not official yet) but what happens after when the refugees stream in and country has to be run?
  • Terrorist attack on Moscow airport in Russia
  • And of course the near weekly suicide attacks on innocent civilians continue in Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan

Is there anything to look forward to? Not really in the next 6 months. Hold tight to your sanity, your money, stand up for justice, be part of the solution against violent extremism and figure out how you will participate on the political front. As Martin Niemoller famously said:

First they came for the communists,
and I didn’t speak out because I wasn’t a communist.
Then they came for the trade unionists,
and I didn’t speak out because I wasn’t a trade unionist.
Then they came for the Jews,
and I didn’t speak out because I wasn’t a Jew.
Then they came for me
and there was no one left to speak out for me.

Let’s see what happens after!

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